Fiscal Dominance Shifts Power Dynamics Between Fed and White House
The Federal Reserve's historical leverage over fiscal policy has inverted. Where Greenspan and Volcker once conditioned monetary policy on deficit reduction, today's WHITE House openly pressures the Fed for accommodative rates. President Trump's public critiques of Jerome Powell - labeling rates "too high" and dismissing inflation risks - underscore this tectonic shift.
U.S. debt-to-GDP's unsustainable trajectory, as noted in the Financial Report, compounds the Fed's dilemma. Central bank independence now faces unprecedented political headwinds amidst ballooning deficits. Market participants increasingly price in fiscal dominance scenarios where monetary policy follows Treasury needs rather than inflation targets.